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Scenario analysis and disaster preparedness for port and maritime logistics risk management

  • GIMPA
  • University of Hull
  • City, University of London

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

63 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

System Dynamics (SD) modelling is used to investigate the impacts of policy interventions on industry actors’ preparedness to mitigate risks and to recover from disruptions along the maritime logistics and supply chain network. The model suggests a bi-directional relation between regulation and industry actors’ behaviour towards Disaster Preparedness (DP) in maritime logistics networks. The model also showed that the level of DP is highly contingent on forecast accuracy, technology change, attitude to risk prevention, port activities, and port environment.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)433-447
Number of pages15
JournalAccident Analysis and Prevention
Volume123
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Feb 2019
Externally publishedYes

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

  1. SDG 3 - Good Health and Well-being
    SDG 3 Good Health and Well-being

Keywords

  • Disaster preparedness
  • Environment instability
  • Logistics
  • Maritime logistics
  • Port management
  • Resilient
  • Risk management
  • System dynamics

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