Scenario analysis and disaster preparedness for port and maritime logistics risk management

John Kwesi-Buor; David A. Menachof; Risto Talas

doi:10.1016/j.aap.2016.07.013

Scenario analysis and disaster preparedness for port and maritime logistics risk management

John Kwesi-Buor, David A. Menachof, Risto Talas

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

50 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

System Dynamics (SD) modelling is used to investigate the impacts of policy interventions on industry actors’ preparedness to mitigate risks and to recover from disruptions along the maritime logistics and supply chain network. The model suggests a bi-directional relation between regulation and industry actors’ behaviour towards Disaster Preparedness (DP) in maritime logistics networks. The model also showed that the level of DP is highly contingent on forecast accuracy, technology change, attitude to risk prevention, port activities, and port environment.

Original language	English
Pages (from-to)	433-447
Number of pages	15
Journal	Accident Analysis and Prevention
Volume	123
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aap.2016.07.013
Publication status	Published - Feb 2019
Externally published	Yes

Keywords

Disaster preparedness
Environment instability
Logistics
Maritime logistics
Port management
Resilient
Risk management
System dynamics

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

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10.1016/j.aap.2016.07.013

Cite this

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abstract = "System Dynamics (SD) modelling is used to investigate the impacts of policy interventions on industry actors{\textquoteright} preparedness to mitigate risks and to recover from disruptions along the maritime logistics and supply chain network. The model suggests a bi-directional relation between regulation and industry actors{\textquoteright} behaviour towards Disaster Preparedness (DP) in maritime logistics networks. The model also showed that the level of DP is highly contingent on forecast accuracy, technology change, attitude to risk prevention, port activities, and port environment.",

keywords = "Disaster preparedness, Environment instability, Logistics, Maritime logistics, Port management, Resilient, Risk management, System dynamics",

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AU - Menachof, David A.

AU - Talas, Risto

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KW - Disaster preparedness

KW - Environment instability

KW - Logistics

KW - Maritime logistics

KW - Port management

KW - Resilient

KW - Risk management

KW - System dynamics

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SP - 433

EP - 447

JO - Accident Analysis and Prevention

JF - Accident Analysis and Prevention

ER -

Scenario analysis and disaster preparedness for port and maritime logistics risk management

Abstract

Keywords

UN SDGs

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