Macroeconomic and welfare implications of FTAs: The harnessing role of trade infrastructure-the case of AfCFTA

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingChapterpeer-review

Abstract

International trade policy research is replete with empirical analysis relating to the enormous potential benefits that regional integration efforts hold for member countries that sign onto such agreements. While the realization of such benefits is ex-post, the signing of such agreements has always been based on ex-ante analysis. This chapter discusses the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) and its enormous potential benefits for member countries (i.e., state parties), especially with regards to the welfare implications of lower prices for consumers and expanded markets for producers through tariff reductions, and the removal of non-tariff barriers (NTBs). NTBs in the form of burdensome "behind the border" policy/administrative procedures and various technical requirements cumulatively lead to administrative red tape, higher compliance costs, and ultimately higher trade costs (SSA has the highest within the global multilateral trading system). Thus, the chapter will analyze the potential trade impact of AfCFTA in reducing trade costs and creating jobs. In addition, the chapter will seek to obtain measures of the potential trade diversion and/or trade creation impact of the AfCFTA for member countries, the welfare implications for consumers and producers, and how trade facilitation in terms of trade infrastructure in SSA can pose as impediments to and/or opportunities for realizing the potential macroeconomic and welfare benefits of AfCFTA.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationThe Palgrave Handbook of International Trade and Development in Africa
PublisherSpringer Nature
Pages241-268
Number of pages28
ISBN (Electronic)9783031657153
ISBN (Print)9783031657146
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 6 Nov 2024

Keywords

  • African Continental Free Trade Area
  • Macroeconomic and welfare implications
  • Trade infrastructure

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