Abstract
This study examines the long-run dynamics between oil price and the bilateral US dollar exchange rates for a group of oil-dependent economies before and after the 2008–2009 Global Financial Crises. Exchange rates are for the euro, Indian rupee, Russian ruble, South African rand, Ghanaian cedi and the Nigerian naira. The dependence on crude oil of these economies is either because fiscal revenues are primarily reliant on oil export receipts or because industrial production is heavily dependent on petroleum. Empirical results show evidence of a long run equilibrium relationship between oil price and exchange rate, especially for currencies of the key oil-exporting countries. This relationship is more evident in the post crisis period, which is also the period when both exchange rate volatility and the inverse relationship between oil price and exchange rate experienced a significant increase.
Original language | English |
---|---|
Pages (from-to) | 304-311 |
Number of pages | 8 |
Journal | Research in International Business and Finance |
Volume | 42 |
DOIs | |
Publication status | Published - Dec 2017 |
Externally published | Yes |
Keywords
- Causality
- Cointegration
- Exchange rate
- Long-run relationship
- Oil price