TY - JOUR
T1 - A Novel Insurance Claims (Revenues) Xgamma Extension
T2 - Distributional Risk Analysis Utilizing Left-Skewed Insurance Claims and Right-Skewed Reinsurance Revenues Data with Financial PORT-VaR Analysis
AU - Yousof, Haitham M.
AU - Afshari, Mahmoud
AU - Alizadeh, Morad
AU - Ranjbar, Vahid
AU - Minkah, R.
AU - Hamed, Mohamed S.
AU - Salem, Moustafa
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© (2025), (University of Punjab (new Campus)). All Rights Reserved.
PY - 2025
Y1 - 2025
N2 - The continuous probability distributions can be successfully utilized to characterize and evaluate the risk exposure in applied actuarial analysis. Actuaries often prefer to convey the level of exposure to a certain hazard using merely a numerical value, or at the very least, a small number of numbers. In this paper, a new applied probability model was presented and used to model six different sets of data. About estimating the risks that insurance companies are exposed to and the revenues of the reinsurance process, we have analyzed and studied data on insurance claims and data on reinsurance revenues as an actuarial example. These actuarial risk exposure functions, sometimes referred to as main risk actuarial indicators, are unquestionably a result of a particular model that can be explained. Five crucial actuarial indicators are used in this study to identify the risk exposure in insurance claims and reinsurance revenues. The parameters are estimated using techniques like the maximum product spacing, maximum-likelihood, and least square estimation. Monte Carlo simulation research is conducted under a specific set of conditions and controls. Additionally, five actuarial risk indicators including the value-at-risk, tail-variance, tail value-at-risk, tail mean-variance, and mean of the excess loss function, were utilized to explain the risk exposure in the context of data on insurance claims and reinsurance revenue. The peak over a random threshold value-at-risk (PORT-VaR) approach and value-at-risk estimate are taken into account and contrasted for detecting the extreme financial insurance peaks.
AB - The continuous probability distributions can be successfully utilized to characterize and evaluate the risk exposure in applied actuarial analysis. Actuaries often prefer to convey the level of exposure to a certain hazard using merely a numerical value, or at the very least, a small number of numbers. In this paper, a new applied probability model was presented and used to model six different sets of data. About estimating the risks that insurance companies are exposed to and the revenues of the reinsurance process, we have analyzed and studied data on insurance claims and data on reinsurance revenues as an actuarial example. These actuarial risk exposure functions, sometimes referred to as main risk actuarial indicators, are unquestionably a result of a particular model that can be explained. Five crucial actuarial indicators are used in this study to identify the risk exposure in insurance claims and reinsurance revenues. The parameters are estimated using techniques like the maximum product spacing, maximum-likelihood, and least square estimation. Monte Carlo simulation research is conducted under a specific set of conditions and controls. Additionally, five actuarial risk indicators including the value-at-risk, tail-variance, tail value-at-risk, tail mean-variance, and mean of the excess loss function, were utilized to explain the risk exposure in the context of data on insurance claims and reinsurance revenue. The peak over a random threshold value-at-risk (PORT-VaR) approach and value-at-risk estimate are taken into account and contrasted for detecting the extreme financial insurance peaks.
KW - Cullen-Frey plot
KW - Financial Peaks
KW - Maximum Product Spacing
KW - Mean Excess Loss Function
KW - Peak Over Random Threshold
KW - Risk exposure
KW - Risk indicators
KW - Value-at-risk
KW - XGamma model
UR - https://www.scopus.com/pages/publications/105007526836
U2 - 10.18187/pjsor.v21i2.4591
DO - 10.18187/pjsor.v21i2.4591
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:105007526836
SN - 1816-2711
VL - 21
SP - 83
EP - 117
JO - Pakistan Journal of Statistics and Operation Research
JF - Pakistan Journal of Statistics and Operation Research
IS - 2
ER -